Team Stats and Insights for Yankees vs White Sox Match Preview – 7/28/2026

New York Yankees

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Chicago White Sox

New York Yankees Insights

• Gerrit Cole – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)
  Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Gerrit Cole has utilized his fastball a lot this year, though: 51.5% of the time, checking in at the 100th percentile.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
• Anthony Volpe – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
  Anthony Volpe has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (84% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• New York Yankees – 2H Moneyline
  The New York Yankees bullpen ranks as the 7th-best in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Anthony Kay – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  Among all SPs, Anthony Kay’s fastball velocity of 95.2 mph ranks in the 80th percentile this year.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Drew Romo – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  Drew Romo’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 82.8-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 75.9-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Colson Montgomery – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  Colson Montgomery pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.9% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-135)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.55 Units / 20% ROI)
• New York Yankees – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+125/-160)
  The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.30 Units / 33% ROI)
• Munetaka Murakami – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)
  Munetaka Murakami has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+10.50 Units / 59% ROI)