Get the Winning Probability and Match Preview for Rangers vs Angels – Wednesday, July 09, 2025

Texas Rangers

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Los Angeles Angels

The Los Angeles Angels will host the Texas Rangers on July 9, 2025, in a pivotal American League West matchup. Both teams are teetering around .500, with the Angels at 44-47 and the Rangers at 45-47, making this series critical for both clubs. In their previous encounter, the Angels suffered a crushing defeat, losing 13-1 to the Rangers, highlighting their struggles this season.

Kyle Hendricks is projected to take the mound for the Angels. While he has a modest ERA of 4.68, his 3.88 xERA suggests he has been a bit unlucky, potentially indicating better performance ahead. However, he has been anything but dominant, ranking as the 228th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced-stat Power Rankings. In his last start on July 4, Hendricks pitched 5 innings, allowing 3 earned runs with 2 strikeouts, showcasing his inconsistency.

On the other side, Kumar Rocker will start for the Rangers. Rocker has a 5.80 ERA but is considered an average pitcher according to the projections. He pitched well in his last outing, allowing just 2 earned runs in 5 innings with 4 strikeouts, suggesting he may be finding his rhythm.

Offensively, the Angels boast a powerful lineup, ranking 5th in MLB with 130 home runs this season, despite their overall offensive struggles, ranking 22nd in runs and 28th in batting average. The Rangers, conversely, are in the 26th position for runs and batting average but have shown flashes of power, ranking 18th in home runs.

With a Game Total set at 9.0 runs, the matchup promises to be competitive. The Angels have a high implied team total of 4.45 runs, while the Rangers sit at 4.55. Bettors should take note of Hendricks’ potential upside against a Rangers offense that has also been inconsistent. Expect a closely fought battle at Angel Stadium as both teams look to capitalize on their respective strengths.

Texas Rangers Insights

• Kumar Rocker – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
  With 6 bats who share his handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Kumar Rocker figures to benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Wyatt Langford – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-225/+170)
  Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Texas Rangers – 2H Moneyline
  The Texas Rangers bullpen grades out as the 6th-worst in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Kyle Hendricks – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  Kyle Hendricks’s 85.7-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1.8-mph decline from last season’s 87.5-mph mark.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Jo Adell – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
  Jo Adell has been hot lately, notching 3 home runs in the past 14 days.
  Explain: Strong recent performance may mean the player is seeing the ball well and will continue to hit well in the near-term.
• Mike Trout – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 12th-best batter in the majors.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – Moneyline (+100)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 49 games (+12.80 Units / 24% ROI)
• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-120/+100)
  The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 88 games (+15.20 Units / 15% ROI)
• Evan Carter – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)
  Evan Carter has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.15 Units / 38% ROI)