
Cleveland Guardians

Athletics
(-115/-105)-110
As the Oakland Athletics host the Cleveland Guardians at Sutter Health Park on June 22, 2025, both teams are looking to rebound from recent performances. In their last matchup on June 21, the Guardians edged the Athletics 4-2, marking the second consecutive loss for Oakland. With a record of 32-47 this season, the Athletics find themselves struggling, while the Guardians sit a notch above at 38-37, indicating an average season.
The Athletics are projected to start left-hander JP Sears, who has a challenging season with a 5-6 record and a 5.45 ERA. Despite being ranked as the 220th best starting pitcher out of approximately 350 in MLB, he has shown some potential for improvement, as indicated by his xFIP of 4.82, suggesting he may be due for better outcomes moving forward. Sears’ last outing was a rough one, allowing five earned runs over just three innings.
On the other side, the Guardians will counter with right-hander Slade Cecconi, who has a 2-3 record and a more commendable 4.15 ERA. However, projections indicate that he might be overperforming given his 5.73 xERA, which suggests that regression could be on the horizon. Cecconi’s last performance was solid, recording two earned runs over five innings, but the Athletics have the 9th best offense in the league, which could put pressure on him.
The Athletics’ offense has been respectable, ranking 10th in batting average and 7th in home runs. With the Guardians’ offense ranked 25th overall, Oakland may have the advantage despite their struggles this season. Adding to the intrigue, both teams have an implied total of 4.50 runs, indicating that oddsmakers expect a competitive matchup, making this game one to watch closely.
Cleveland Guardians Insights
- Slade Cecconi – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+110/-140)Slade Cecconi has exhibited favorable control since the start of last season, posting a 87th percentile walk rate of 5.8%.Explain: One of the best indicators of future walks is past walks.
- Lane Thomas – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)Lane Thomas has struggled with his Barrel%; his 7.4% rate last year has decreased to 0% this season.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- Slade Cecconi – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Austin Hedges (the Guardians’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) is considered to be an elite pitch framer.Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).
Athletics Insights
- Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-115)JP Sears is an extreme flyball pitcher (41.4% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #9 HR venue among all major league parks in this game.Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Brent Rooker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)Brent Rooker has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.8-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 91.7-mph figure.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Athletics – 2H MoneylineThe Athletics bullpen grades out as the 6th-worst in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-115/-105)The Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 73 games (+8.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-115/-105)The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games (+11.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- Angel Martinez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-210/+160)Angel Martinez has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 25 games (+7.30 Units / 27% ROI)