Score Prediction and Insights for Astros vs Angels Match – June 21, 2025

Houston Astros

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Los Angeles Angels

On June 21, 2025, the Los Angeles Angels will host the Houston Astros in a pivotal American League West matchup at Angel Stadium. Yesterday, the Angels dropped a closely contested game against the Astros, losing 3-2, marking their fourth loss in their last five games. Meanwhile, the Astros continue to shine, holding a strong 44-32 record and coming off a victory in their last game.

Jose Soriano, projected to start for the Angels, ranks as the 35th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced-stat Power Rankings. Soriano has had a decent year with a 3.54 ERA, but he has been inconsistent, evidenced by a 4-5 record over 15 starts. Although he pitched well in his last outing, going 7 innings without allowing an earned run, his projections for tonight suggest he may struggle, particularly with an average of 5.7 hits allowed.

Brandon Walter, on the other hand, takes the mound for Houston. While he ranks 57th among starting pitchers, his 1.53 ERA is exceptional, albeit slightly inflated by a 2.24 xFIP that indicates he may not maintain this level of performance. Walter has shown promise in his last start, allowing only one earned run over 7 innings, and he’ll aim to capitalize on the Angels’ low offensive ranking, which is 24th in MLB this season.

The Angels’ offense is powerful when it comes to home runs, ranking 4th in the league with 107 homers, but their overall performance has been below average, especially in terms of batting average, where they sit at 29th. This stark contrast could play into Walter’s favor, as he’s a groundball pitcher facing a team that excels with power.

With a game total set at 8.5 runs, betting markets highlight a close contest, and the Angels have an implied team total of 4.35 runs, suggesting some confidence in their ability to bounce back offensively. If they can harness their power, they may surprise the Astros tonight.

Houston Astros Insights

• Brandon Walter – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)
  With 8 bats who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Brandon Walter will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Christian Walker – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+140)
  Christian Walker is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Houston Astros – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Houston Astros’ bullpen ranks as the 5th-best among all teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Los Angeles Angels – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-130)
  In his last outing, Jose Soriano was firing on all cylinders and allowed 0 ER.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Jo Adell – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Jo Adell has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 99.7-mph average to last season’s 94.1-mph mark.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Mike Trout – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-145)
  Mike Trout projects as the 8th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – Moneyline (-125)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 43 games (+11.40 Units / 25% ROI)
• Houston Astros – Moneyline (+105)
  The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.80 Units / 23% ROI)
• Jo Adell – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+120/-150)
  Jo Adell has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.10 Units / 46% ROI)