Find the Best Player Prop Bets for Phillies vs Athletics – Saturday May 24, 2025

Philadelphia Phillies

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Athletics

As the Philadelphia Phillies visit Sutter Health Park to take on the Oakland Athletics on May 24, 2025, the stakes are notable. The Phillies currently boast a strong record of 33-18, positioning themselves as contenders in the National League. In contrast, the Athletics stand at a disappointing 22-30, having struggled throughout the season and still reeling from a narrow 4-3 loss to the Phillies just yesterday. This matchup not only features two teams on opposite ends of the spectrum but also showcases two compelling pitchers.

Jeffrey Springs, projected to start for the Athletics, has had a mixed season—holding a 5-3 record with a decent ERA of 3.91. However, his advanced stats suggest he may have been a bit lucky, as his xFIP sits at 4.85, indicating potential regression. Springs had a solid outing in his last start on May 18, where he went 7 innings, allowing just 1 earned run. However, the projections suggest he could struggle today, as he’s expected to give up around 3.2 earned runs and allow 5.7 hits.

On the other side, Cristopher Sanchez, the Phillies’ starter, has emerged as an elite pitcher this season, with a 4-1 record and an excellent ERA of 3.10. Sanchez has been particularly effective, recently recording 7 strikeouts against 5 hits in 6 innings pitched in his last outing. The projections indicate he’ll continue his solid performance, with an expectation to allow only 2.6 earned runs today.

When it comes to offensive production, the Phillies rank 6th in MLB, with a high batting average of .285. Their best hitter has been exceptional, accumulating 38 runs and 17 home runs this season. Meanwhile, the Athletics, though ranked 11th offensively, have shown inconsistency, particularly in the power department.

With the Athletics as underdogs at +145 on the moneyline, the Phillies’ strong season and Sanchez’s elite status give them a substantial edge in this contest. Expect a high-scoring affair, with the Game Total set at 9.5 runs, reflecting the trends around both offenses.

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Cristopher Sanchez – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
  With 7 hitters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Cristopher Sanchez encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Bryson Stott – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+140)
  Bryson Stott is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Philadelphia Phillies – 2H Moneyline
  The Philadelphia Phillies bullpen grades out as the 10th-worst in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Athletics Insights

• Jeffrey Springs – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
  Out of all starters, Jeffrey Springs’s fastball velocity of 89.5 mph is in the 6th percentile this year.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Miguel Andujar – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
  This season, Miguel Andujar has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 86.7 mph compared to last year’s 84.1 mph mark.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Luis Urias – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Luis Urias pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.6% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Athletics – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-155/+120)
  The Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.30 Units / 13% ROI)
• Philadelphia Phillies – Moneyline (-165)
  The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 away games (+8.80 Units / 35% ROI)
• Luis Urias – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+165/-220)
  Luis Urias has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.20 Units / 38% ROI)