Yankees vs Athletics Insights and Game Breakdown – 5/31/2026

New York Yankees

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Athletics

New York Yankees Insights

• New York Yankees – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-170)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects that Will Warren will record an average of 2.83 earned runs in this game.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
• Jose Caballero – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-185)
  There has been a decrease in Jose Caballero’s average exit velocity this year, from 86.1 mph last year to 83.1 mph now
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• New York Yankees – 2H Moneyline
  The New York Yankees bullpen ranks as the 7th-best in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Athletics Insights

• Jacob Lopez – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-170/+130)
  Jacob Lopez’s cutter utilization has risen by 5.8% from last season to this one (14.2% to 20%) .
  Explain: Because cutters are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• Carlos Cortes – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Carlos Cortes’s true offensive skill to be a .313, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .095 disparity between that mark and his actual .408 wOBA.
  Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
• Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  Lawrence Butler has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Athletics – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+115/-145)
  The Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+4.95 Units / 17% ROI)
• Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (-115/-105)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 away games (+5.45 Units / 29% ROI)
• Paul Goldschmidt – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+160/-210)
  Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 away games (+9.85 Units / 56% ROI)