Watch the Brewers vs Reds Game Highlights – June 3rd, 2025

Milwaukee Brewers

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Cincinnati Reds

The Cincinnati Reds will host the Milwaukee Brewers at Great American Ball Park on June 3, 2025, in a pivotal matchup within the National League Central. The Reds, currently sitting at 29-32, are struggling this season, while the Brewers, with a record of 33-28, find themselves performing above average. The previous game in this series saw the Reds fall 3-2 to the Brewers, highlighting the competitive nature of this rivalry.

On the mound, the Reds are projected to start Hunter Greene, who has established himself as a strong performer this season, ranking as the 23rd best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced-stat Power Rankings. Greene comes into this game with an impressive ERA of 2.63 and a solid win/loss record of 4-3 over 10 starts. However, projections suggest he may face challenges today, with an average projection of allowing 2.7 earned runs and a concerning average of 4.9 hits allowed.

Freddy Peralta will take the hill for the Brewers, boasting a respectable ERA of 2.77 and a win/loss record of 5-3 in 12 starts. His performance has been good, but similar projections indicate he might struggle as well, with an average projection of allowing 2.8 earned runs and 4.8 hits.

Offensively, the Reds rank 14th overall, showcasing an average talent level, while the Brewers’ offense is ranked 23rd, indicating potential vulnerabilities. With Cincinnati’s best hitter showing strong recent form—boasting a .318 batting average and a 1.193 OPS over the last week—the Reds have a slight edge in offensive momentum.

Considering the odds, the Reds’ current moneyline of -135 reflects a belief in their ability to claim victory in what is expected to be a close contest, despite their overall struggles this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Milwaukee Brewers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+115)
  Freddy Peralta is an extreme flyball pitcher (37.8% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #1 HR venue in the majors in this matchup.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Brice Turang – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-195/+150)
  In the past week’s worth of games, Brice Turang’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.8% down to 0%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Rhys Hoskins – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  Rhys Hoskins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.8% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Hunter Greene – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
  Hunter Greene’s high utilization percentage of his fastball (57.8% this year) is likely dampening his results, consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
• Will Benson – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
  Will Benson has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.3-mph average to last season’s 89.4-mph average.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• The Cincinnati Reds have 4 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Matt McLain, Will Benson, Tyler Stephenson, Elly De La Cruz).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-115/-105)
  The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.60 Units / 26% ROI)
• Milwaukee Brewers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-130)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 58 games (+9.30 Units / 13% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
  Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.20 Units / 34% ROI)