Uncover Detailed Player Insights for Mariners vs Tigers - Sunday, June 07, 2026

-120O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)+100

Luis Castillo – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+100/-130)
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Luis Castillo to be limited in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 77 pitches.
Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
Patrick Wisdom – Over/Under Hits
Patrick Wisdom is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Mitch Garver – Over/Under Total Bases
Today, Mitch Garver is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40.8% rate (98th percentile).
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Jack Flaherty – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-145/+115)
Jack Flaherty’s curveball utilization has fallen by 5% from last year to this one (25.4% to 20.4%) .
Explain: Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
The Detroit Tigers have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Riley Greene, Kerry Carpenter, Spencer Torkelson).
Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

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