Learn About Rays vs Marlins Picks and Betting Trends – Sunday June 07, 2026

Tampa Bay Rays

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Miami Marlins

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

• Griffin Jax – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-145/+115)
  Griffin Jax has averaged 11.5 outs per game per started this year, ranking in the 2nd percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.

Miami Marlins Insights

• Sandy Alcantara – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
  Sandy Alcantara has gone to his curveball 15.6% less often this season (2.4%) than he did last year (18%).
  Explain: Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
• Xavier Edwards – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-235/+180)
  When it comes to his batting average talent, Xavier Edwards is projected as the 14th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• Owen Caissie – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
  Owen Caissie hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.10 Units / 15% ROI)
• Tampa Bay Rays – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-140/+110)
  The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.20 Units / 26% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+185/-245)
  Yandy Diaz has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+9.80 Units / 21% ROI)