TV Channel Information for Yankees vs Blue Jays - Sunday June 14, 2026

-130O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)+110

Will Warren – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
Will Warren has gone to his sinker 5.3% more often this year (26.2%) than he did last season (20.9%).
Explain: Sinkers are the easiest pitches to hit and generate the fewest strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his sinker more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
Cody Bellinger – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
Cody Bellinger has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Toronto Blue Jays only has 1 same-handed RP.
Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
The underlying talent of the New York Yankees projected batting order today (.319 projected wOBA via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be a fair amount weaker than their .331 wOBA this year.
Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Patrick Corbin – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-165/+125)
Patrick Corbin’s 2138.3-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season ranks in the 18th percentile out of all starters.
Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-245/+185)
When estimating his batting average ability, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
Toronto Blue Jays – 2H Moneyline
The Toronto Blue Jays bullpen grades out as the 3rd-best in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Toronto Blue Jays – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+5.80 Units / 11% ROI)
New York Yankees – Moneyline (-130)
The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.55 Units / 39% ROI)
Nathan Lukes – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+160/-210)
Nathan Lukes has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.05 Units / 41% ROI)

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