
San Francisco Giants
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Baltimore Orioles
+110O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-130
(-110/-110)-130
San Francisco Giants Insights
- San Francisco Giants – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+105)Adrian Houser turned in a great performance in his previous GS and gave up 1 ER.Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
- Luis Arraez – Over/Under Total BasesLuis Arraez has been lucky in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 6.5 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly inflated relative to his 0.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
- San Francisco Giants – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the San Francisco Giants’ bullpen profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in MLB.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Baltimore Orioles Insights
- Cade Povich – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects that Cade Povich will give up an average of 2 singles in this outing.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
- Colton Cowser – Over/Under Total BasesColton Cowser has a ton of pop (88th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (32.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Adrian Houser struggles to strike batters out (5th percentile K%) — great news for Cowser.Explain: If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.
- Ryan Mountcastle – Over/Under Total BasesRyan Mountcastle has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest RF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
