Explore the Yankees vs Rays Matchup Preview and Game Analysis - Sunday, April 12, 2026

-135O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)+115

Cam Schlittler – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
Out of all SPs, Cameron Schlittler’s fastball velocity of 97.3 mph is in the 96th percentile since the start of last season.
Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Jazz Chisholm – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
Jazz Chisholm Jr. has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
New York Yankees – Moneyline (-135)
The New York Yankees projected offense grades out as the 2nd-best of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability.
Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Drew Rasmussen – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+150/-195)
Compared to the average pitcher, Drew Rasmussen has been granted less leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, tallying an -11.0 fewer adjusted pitches each start.
Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
Cedric Mullins – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
Cedric Mullins’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 91.3-mph EV last year has dropped off to 87.4-mph.
Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
The 7.7% Barrel% of the Tampa Bay Rays ranks them as the #26 squad in baseball since the start of last season by this metric.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Tampa Bay Rays – Run Line +1.5 (-150)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+5.70 Units / 20% ROI)
New York Yankees – Run Line -1.5 (+125)
The New York Yankees have hit the Run Line in 9 of their last 15 away games (+5.05 Units / 32% ROI)
Ben Rice – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+430/-690)
Ben Rice has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 73% ROI)

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