
Cleveland Guardians
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Chicago White Sox
-120O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)+100
(-110/-110)+100
Cleveland Guardians Insights
- Tanner Bibee – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)Out of all starters, Tanner Bibee’s fastball spin rate of 2157 rpm grades out in the 18th percentile this year.Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Steven Kwan – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-200/+155)Steven Kwan is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Tanner Bibee – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)Projected catcher Patrick Bailey projects as an elite pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).
Chicago White Sox Insights
- Erick Fedde – Over/Under Pitching OutsErick Fedde has tallied 14.1 outs per outing this year, checking in at the 17th percentile.Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
- Andrew Benintendi – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+165/-215)Andrew Benintendi has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 89.7-mph average.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Chicago White Sox – 2H MoneylineThe Chicago White Sox bullpen ranks as the 10th-best in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
