See the Weather Forecast for Pirates vs Mets – Thursday, March 26th, 2026

Pittsburgh Pirates

@

New York Mets

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights

• Paul Skenes – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-105/-125)
  Paul Skenes has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, tallying 4.0 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average pitcher.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.

New York Mets Insights

• Freddy Peralta – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Freddy Peralta in the 95th percentile when assessing his strikeout skill.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
• Bo Bichette – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-235/+175)
  As it relates to his batting average ability, Bo Bichette is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• Marcus Semien – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Marcus Semien pulls many of his flyballs (38.3% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• New York Mets – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+110/-140)
  The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 59 games at home (+14.30 Units / 20% ROI)
• Over/Under 7.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 77 of their last 130 games (+24.65 Units / 17% ROI)
• Marcus Semien – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+800/-1900)
  Marcus Semien has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+7.30 Units / 122% ROI)