See the Odds and Betting Tips for Rays vs Cardinals – March 28th, 2026

Tampa Bay Rays

@

St. Louis Cardinals

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

• Joe Boyle – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Joe Boyle in the 89th percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
• Jake Fraley – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)
  Jake Fraley will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals has just 1 same-handed RP.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Tampa Bay’s 10.6° launch angle (an advanced standard to measure the ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the lowest in MLB since the start of last season: #29 overall.
  Explain: A low launch angle generally means the hitter struggles to lift the ball into the air, which is a key component for power and home runs.

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Michael McGreevy – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
  Michael McGreevy has notched a 7.6% Swinging Strike% since the start of last season, ranking in the 12th percentile.
  Explain: Swinging Strike% measures how often a pitcher gets a batter to whiff at a pitch and is regarded to be a strong indicator of strikeout ability and overall pitching talent.
• Jordan Walker – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
  Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (17.8) may lead us to conclude that Jordan Walker has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his 9.0 actual HR/600.
  Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
• The 8% Barrel% of the St. Louis Cardinals makes them the #23 club in MLB since the start of last season by this stat.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Betting Trends

• St. Louis Cardinals – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-130/+100)
  The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 64 of their last 113 games (+9.25 Units / 7% ROI)
• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (+100/-120)
  The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 48 games (+9.35 Units / 18% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+235/-325)
  Yandy Diaz has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 44% ROI)