Read the Boxscore for Nationals vs Tigers - Tuesday September 22nd, 2026

+125O/U: 8
(-115/-105)-150

Jackson Kent – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-150/+115)
With 7 bats who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Jackson Kent encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Nasim Nuñez – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
Nasim Nunez has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84.4-mph dropping to 71.4-mph in the last 7 days.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
The underlying talent of the Washington Nationals projected offense today (.312 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be considerably worse than their .324 wOBA this year.
Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Detroit Tigers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-155)
Drew Anderson was firing on all cylinders in his last outing and allowed 0 ER.
Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
Eduardo Valencia – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
Eduardo Valencia has been lucky this year, notching a .428 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .125 disparity.
Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
Detroit Tigers hitters as a unit grade out 9th- in Major League Baseball for power this year when assessing with their 8.3% Barrel%.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Detroit Tigers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-155)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+17.25 Units / 24% ROI)
Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-115/-105)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.45 Units / 33% ROI)
Ben Malgeri – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+120/-150)
Ben Malgeri has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.15 Units / 27% ROI)

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