Player Stats for Cubs vs Pirates - July 24th, 2026

-110O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-110

Matthew Boyd – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have 7 hitters in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Boyd in today’s game.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Carson Kelly – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
Carson Kelly’s average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 87.9-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 80.4-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-110)
The Chicago Cubs projected batting order grades out as the 3rd-strongest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability.
Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Jared Jones – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
Out of all SPs, Jared Jones’s fastball velocity of 97.9 mph ranks in the 99th percentile this year.
Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Jake Mangum – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+170/-225)
Jake Mangum is an extreme groundball batter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Chicago (#1-best of the day).
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Pittsburgh’s 92.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs ranks them as the #5 offense in the league this year by this standard.
Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.

Pittsburgh Pirates – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-145/+115)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.10 Units / 57% ROI)
Chicago Cubs – Run Line -1.5 (+160)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Run Line in 13 of their last 18 away games (+9.90 Units / 42% ROI)
Marcell Ozuna – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+155/-200)
Marcell Ozuna has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 26% ROI)

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