Player Insights for Yankees vs Phillies - 7/24/26

+120O/U: 7.5
(+105/-125)-140

Cam Schlittler – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
Out of all starters, Cameron Schlittler’s fastball velocity of 97.2 mph is in the 95th percentile this year.
Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Trent Grisham – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)
Trent Grisham is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
The New York Yankees have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in future games
Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Jesus Luzardo – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
Given that flyball pitchers struggle the most against groundball hitters, Jesus Luzardo (45% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 GB hitters in New York’s projected batting order.
Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
Alec Bohm – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+160/-205)
Alec Bohm has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph to 96.2-mph in the last 14 days.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Philadelphia Phillies – 2H Moneyline
The Philadelphia Phillies bullpen projects as the 8th-best in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Philadelphia Phillies – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-140/+110)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+5.75 Units / 23% ROI)
New York Yankees – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+100/-130)
The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.60 Units / 18% ROI)
Bryson Stott – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+120/-155)
Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+7.90 Units / 36% ROI)

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