Player Prop Picks for Rockies vs Mets – 4/25/2026

Colorado Rockies

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New York Mets

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Jose Quintana – Over/Under 2.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  As forecasted by the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Jose Quintana is expected to rack up an average of 3.6 strikeouts in this game.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
• Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)
  Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.217) suggests that Hunter Goodman has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .276 actual batting average.
  Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
• Compared to their .322 overall projected rate, the .304 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Colorado Rockies projected batting order today suggests this version of the lineup a fair amount weaker than usual.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

New York Mets Insights

• Kodai Senga – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  Kodai Senga’s change-up percentage has fallen by 5.4% from last year to this one (28.4% to 23%) .
  Explain: Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
• Ronny Mauricio – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+135)
  Ronny Mauricio is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• New York Mets – 2H Moneyline
  The New York Mets bullpen profiles as the 10th-worst in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• New York Mets – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-110/-120)
  The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.95 Units / 40% ROI)
• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (+110/-140)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 21 away games (+5.15 Units / 22% ROI)