Phillies vs Mets Best Bets and Expert Picks - Friday June 26, 2026

-155O/U: 8
(-110/-110)+135

Zack Wheeler – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
Given his large platoon split, Zack Wheeler will be at a disadvantage matching up with 7 batters in the projected batting order of the opposite hand in today’s matchup.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Brandon Marsh – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
Brandon Marsh is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Philadelphia Phillies – 2H Moneyline
The Philadelphia Phillies bullpen profiles as the 6th-best in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Juan Soto – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s shallowest CF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

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