Learn How to Watch the Dodgers vs Orioles Game – September 06, 2025

Los Angeles Dodgers

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Baltimore Orioles

As the MLB season draws closer to its conclusion, the Baltimore Orioles and Los Angeles Dodgers are set to clash on September 6, 2025, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The Orioles (65-76)are having a below-average season, while the Dodgers (78-63) are in better form and pushing toward a postseason berth. In their previous matchup, the Dodgers emerged victorious, continuing their strong play.

The projected starters offer a stark contrast in performance. Trevor Rogers, the Orioles’ left-handed pitcher, has been statistically solid, boasting an 8-2 record and a remarkable 1.39 ERA this year. However, advanced metrics suggest he may have been a bit lucky, as indicated by his 3.49 xFIP, which is 2.10 points higher than his ERA. Rogers projects to pitch around 5.0 innings today but may struggle, with projections estimating he’ll allow approximately 2.8 earned runs, 5.2 hits, and 1.8 walks.

On the other hand, Yoshinobu Yamamoto of the Dodgers is having an elite season. Ranked 4th among MLB pitchers, he holds an 11-8 record and a stellar 2.82 ERA. Projections indicate he will log about 5.8 innings, yielding just 2.1 earned runs while striking out 6.9 batters. Although he may allow more hits than desired, his capability to limit runs bodes well for the Dodgers this matchup.

Offensively, the Orioles sit 16th overall, with a batting average ranked 21st, while the Dodgers boast the 3rd best offense, highlighted by their 2nd place ranking in home runs. Given these offensive disparities, the projections favor the Dodgers to maintain their winning momentum in this series.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Yoshinobu Yamamoto – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-150/+120)
  Among all SPs, Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s fastball spin rate of 2194 rpm ranks in the 11th percentile this year.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Enrique Hernandez – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)
  Enrique Hernandez has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 9.9% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past week.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Compared to their .345 overall projected rate, the .330 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Los Angeles Dodgers projected offense in today’s game suggests this version of the lineup significantly weaker than usual.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Trevor Rogers – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  Generating 19.4 outs per outing this year on average, Trevor Rogers checks in at the 99th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Coby Mayo – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  Coby Mayo has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 98.1-mph over the past 7 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Baltimore Orioles – 2H Moneyline
  The Baltimore Orioles bullpen grades out as the 3rd-worst in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 72 of their last 120 games (+20.58 Units / 16% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 65 games (+11.00 Units / 15% ROI)
• Andy Pages – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  Andy Pages has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.55 Units / 40% ROI)