How to Watch the Rockies vs D-Backs Game – Wednesday August 12, 2026

Colorado Rockies

@

Arizona Diamondbacks

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Colorado Rockies – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+145)
  Ryan Feltner was rolling in his previous GS and gave up 0 ER.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Over the last 7 days, Hunter Goodman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16.3% down to 0%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected offense for the Colorado Rockies today has an estimated true talent wOBA of .303, which is considerably lower than their actual wOBA of .323 this year.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Merrill Kelly – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-130/+100)
  Tallying 17.1 outs per outing this year on average, Merrill Kelly falls in the 80th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Ketel Marte – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-145)
  Ketel Marte’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 90-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 83.1-mph over the past two weeks.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Arizona Diamondbacks bats as a unit grade out 25th- in MLB for power this year when judging by their 7.2% Barrel%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Betting Trends

• Arizona Diamondbacks – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -0.5 (-135)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+10.05 Units / 37% ROI)
• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-140/+110)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 24 away games (+2.60 Units / 9% ROI)
• Nolan Arenado – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-120/-110)
  Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.40 Units / 47% ROI)