
Tampa Bay Rays
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Athletics
-230O/U: 9.5
(+100/-120)+195
(+100/-120)+195
Tampa Bay Rays Insights
- Tampa Bay Rays – Moneyline (-230)Out of all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- Cedric Mullins – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)Cedric Mullins is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Sacramento (#2-worst of all teams on the slate today).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
- Tampa Bay Rays hitters jointly rank 30th- in baseball for power this year when using their 6.1% Barrel%.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Athletics Insights
- Jack Perkins – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-135/+105)Tallying 13.7 outs per outing this year on average, Jackson Perkins places in the 10th percentile.Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
- Tommy White – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-140/+110)Thomas White is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Henry Bolte – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+140)Henry Bolte hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 99th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Athletics – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-110/-120)The Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+7.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- Tampa Bay Rays – Run Line -1.5 (-140)The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 away games (+8.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)Jonathan Aranda has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+8.20 Units / 28% ROI)
