Get Tickets Information for Phillies vs Yankees – 7/26/2025

Philadelphia Phillies

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New York Yankees

The New York Yankees will host the Philadelphia Phillies on July 26, 2025, in a key Interleague matchup at Yankee Stadium. Both teams are in the playoff hunt with the Yankees sitting at 56-47, slightly above average, while the Phillies are faring better at 59-44, enjoying a solid season. In their last game, the Yankees pulled off a thrilling victory against the Phillies, signaling their intent to keep the momentum going.

On the mound, the Yankees are projected to start Marcus Stroman, who has struggled this season, holding a 2-1 record and a concerning 5.64 ERA. Despite being ranked the 219th best starting pitcher in MLB, advanced metrics suggest Stroman could improve, with an xFIP of 4.75, hinting at some bad luck. However, his projections today are not encouraging, forecasting 3.0 earned runs over 5.2 innings.

In contrast, the Phillies will counter with Ranger Suarez, who boasts an impressive 7-4 record and a stellar 2.66 ERA, ranking him as the 25th best starting pitcher. Suarez’s projections indicate he will allow an average of 2.9 earned runs across 5.6 innings, making him a tough matchup for the Yankees.

Offensively, the Yankees lead the league with 167 home runs and rank 1st overall in MLB. Their hitting has been electric, with their best hitter coming off a week where he recorded three home runs and a .318 batting average. However, they will be facing a Phillies team that ranks 8th overall in offense but has a strong groundball pitcher in Suarez to contend with their power.

Given the standings, the Yankees have a projected team total of 4.64 runs, while the Phillies are slightly ahead at 4.86 runs. This matchup looks to be closely contested, with both teams bringing strong offensive and defensive capabilities to the field.

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Philadelphia Phillies – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-130)
  Ranger Suarez is an extreme groundball pitcher (49.1% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Yankee Stadium — the #6 HR venue in the league — in this matchup.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
• Bryce Harper – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
  Bryce Harper is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees only has 1 same-handed RP.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Philadelphia Phillies – 2H Moneyline
  The Philadelphia Phillies bullpen grades out as the 6th-worst in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

New York Yankees Insights

• Marcus Stroman – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)
  Marcus Stroman’s slider usage has spiked by 11.6% from last season to this one (16.3% to 27.9%) .
  Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• Austin Wells – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)
  Philadelphia’s 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate creates a favorable matchup for Austin Wells, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Anthony Volpe – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)
  Anthony Volpe hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (+100/-120)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 87 games (+8.52 Units / 9% ROI)
• Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (+100/-120)
  The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 46 away games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+170/-225)
  Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+16.25 Units / 31% ROI)