Get Tickets Information for Phillies vs Yankees – 7/26/2025

Philadelphia Phillies

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New York Yankees

The Philadelphia Phillies visit Yankee Stadium on July 26, 2025, for an intriguing interleague matchup against the New York Yankees. This game comes on the heels of a striking performance, where the Phillies triumphed 12-5 over the Yankees yesterday, a result that showcased their offensive prowess and the Yankees’ pitching woes.

As the teams head into this game, the Yankees sit at 56-47, having demonstrated an above-average season. Meanwhile, the Phillies lead with a solid 59-44 record, indicating a good campaign so far. The Yankees will lean on Marcus Stroman, who is projected for 5.1 innings, but his 5.64 ERA this season raises concerns. Stroman’s struggles are compounded by a disappointing 2-1 record and peripheral stats indicating he has been unlucky. Conversely, Ranger Suarez, with a stellar 2.66 ERA and a strong 7-4 record, gives the Phillies an edge on the mound.

The Yankees boast the 1st best offense in MLB, showcasing their power with the most home runs at 167. However, Stroman’s matchup against a high-groundball pitcher like Suarez could neutralize some of that power if the Yankees struggle to elevate the ball. Meanwhile, the projections indicate that the Yankees may only muster an average of 4.24 runs, contrasting with the Phillies’ expected total of 4.76 runs today.

With the stakes high in this closely matched contest, the Yankees will aim to bounce back against a well-rounded Phillies team that has been trending upward. The performance of both pitchers could very well dictate the outcome as they meet in what promises to be a compelling game.

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Philadelphia Phillies – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-150)
  Ranger Suarez is an extreme groundball pitcher (49.1% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Yankee Stadium — the #6 HR venue in the league — in this matchup.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
• Bryce Harper – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
  Bryce Harper is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees only has 1 same-handed RP.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Philadelphia Phillies – 2H Moneyline
  The Philadelphia Phillies bullpen grades out as the 6th-worst in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

New York Yankees Insights

• Marcus Stroman – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
  Marcus Stroman’s slider usage has spiked by 11.6% from last season to this one (16.3% to 27.9%) .
  Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• Cody Bellinger – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-150)
  Extreme flyball batters like Cody Bellinger tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Ranger Suarez.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Anthony Volpe – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)
  Anthony Volpe hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-105/-115)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 87 games (+8.52 Units / 9% ROI)
• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-105/-115)
  The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 46 away games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-270/+200)
  Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+16.25 Units / 31% ROI)