Get the Brewers vs Rockies Injury Report – Tuesday, April 08, 2025

Milwaukee Brewers

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Colorado Rockies

As the Colorado Rockies host the Milwaukee Brewers on April 8, 2025, both teams are looking to establish momentum in this early season matchup. The Rockies, currently sitting at 2-7, have had a rough start and are hoping to turn things around against a Brewers squad that is hovering around .500 with a 5-5 record. The Rockies are coming off a tough stretch and will need to find a way to rally their offense, which ranks 20th in MLB.

The pitching matchup features Kyle Freeland for the Rockies, who has an impressive 2.13 ERA despite a 0-1 record this season. However, advanced metrics indicate that he may have been a bit lucky, as his SIERA sits at 2.96, suggesting he could struggle moving forward. Freeland is projected to pitch just 4.9 innings today, allowing 3.3 earned runs on average, which could be problematic against a Brewers lineup that ranks 21st overall but features some capable hitters.

Freddy Peralta, on the other hand, will take the mound for the Brewers. With a solid 2.08 ERA, he has been effective early this season, and advanced projections indicate he could continue this trend. Peralta is a high-strikeout pitcher, which bodes well against a Rockies offense that ranks 5th in MLB for strikeouts. This matchup may heavily favor Peralta, especially considering the Rockies’ struggles to convert flyballs into home runs.

The game total is set at 9.5 runs, indicating expectations for a high-scoring affair. The Rockies are currently an underdog with a moneyline of +135, reflecting their uphill battle against a Brewers team that is favored at -160. With Freeland’s potential to outperform his projections, there could be value in betting on the Rockies to pull off an upset at Coors Field.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Freddy Peralta – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-145/+115)
  Freddy Peralta has gone to his slider 14.2% less often this season (7.4%) than he did last year (21.6%).
  Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
• Joseph Ortiz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Joey Ortiz’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 87.8-mph mark last season has decreased to 81.2-mph.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• It may be wise to expect weaker performance for the Milwaukee Brewers offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the luckiest offense in Major League Baseball since the start of last season.
  Explain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Kyle Freeland – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
  Kyle Freeland’s 91.4-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season ranks in the 18th percentile among all starters.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Mickey Moniak – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
  Mickey Moniak is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the strong outfield defense of Milwaukee (#2-best of all teams on the slate today).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Colorado Rockies – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Colorado Rockies’ bullpen profiles as the 7th-best out of all teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Colorado Rockies – Moneyline (+135)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 74 games at home (+6.50 Units / 9% ROI)
• Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-160)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+6.85 Units / 15% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+490/-850)
  Jackson Chourio has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+6.70 Units / 134% ROI)