Get Betting Tips and Odds for Nationals vs Brewers - 4/12/2026

+170O/U: 8
(-105/-115)-195

Zack Littell – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-145/+115)
Recording 17.4 outs per start since the start of last season on average, Zack Littell places him the 89th percentile.
Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
Daylen Lile – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-185)
Daylen Lile’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 91.8-mph mark last season has decreased to 89.1-mph.
Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
Washington Nationals – 2H Moneyline
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Washington Nationals’ bullpen grades out as the worst out of all the teams in the league.
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Brandon Woodruff – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
Brandon Woodruff has used his change-up 5.4% more often this year (23%) than he did last year (17.6%).
Explain: Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
Luis Rengifo – Over/Under Hits
Luis Rengifo has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .231 rate is considerably lower than his .272 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
William Contreras – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)
William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Milwaukee Brewers – Run Line -1.5 (+110)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+8.20 Units / 45% ROI)
Washington Nationals – Moneyline (+170)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 away games (+11.90 Units / 57% ROI)
Sal Frelick – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+145/-190)
Sal Frelick has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+6.20 Units / 19% ROI)

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