Get Bets and Betting Tips for Brewers vs Blue Jays – 8/29/2025

Milwaukee Brewers

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Toronto Blue Jays

On August 29, 2025, the Toronto Blue Jays will host the Milwaukee Brewers in what promises to be an exciting Interleague matchup at Rogers Centre. Both teams come into this game with strong records, with the Blue Jays sitting at 78-56 and the Brewers at 83-52, making this a significant contest as they both aim for the postseason. In their last game, the Blue Jays edged out the Brewers in a high-scoring affair, winning 9-8, which adds a layer of intrigue heading into this first game of the series.

The pitching matchup features Shane Bieber for Toronto, who has had an impressive season despite limited starts, posting a stellar 1.50 ERA in just one start this year and demonstrating excellent strikeout potential with a 42.9 K%. However, he faces a challenge against a Brewers offense that has shown resilience, ranking 10th in overall performance. Freddy Peralta will take the mound for Milwaukee, boasting a solid 2.68 ERA and a 15-5 record this season. Notably, Peralta is also a high-strikeout pitcher, but he may struggle against a Blue Jays lineup that ranks 1st in MLB for the least strikeouts.

From a betting perspective, the Blue Jays are slightly favored with a moneyline of -135, reflecting their recent form and the strength of their offense, which ranks 2nd in MLB. The projections suggest that they could score about 4.23 runs, while the Brewers are expected to tally around 3.77 runs. With the game total set at 8.0 runs, bettors can expect a competitive matchup that could swing either way, especially with the recent performances of both teams.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Freddy Peralta – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)
  Freddy Peralta has been given a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, tallying 4.1 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than average.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Sal Frelick – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-185/+140)
  Sal Frelick has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 85.6-mph average to last year’s 83.3-mph average.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Milwaukee Brewers – 2H Moneyline
  The Milwaukee Brewers bullpen ranks as the 8th-best in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Shane Bieber – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  Shane Bieber’s high usage percentage of his secondary pitches (62.4% since the start of last season) ought to work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Daulton Varsho – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
  Daulton Varsho is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Milwaukee (#1-best on the slate today).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• George Springer – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-165)
  George Springer hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 58 of their last 98 games (+20.45 Units / 19% ROI)
• Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (+115)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 101 games (+28.85 Units / 22% ROI)
• Andrew Vaughn – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
  Andrew Vaughn has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.85 Units / 29% ROI)