Game Location for Royals vs Dodgers - 8/12/26

+195O/U: 9
(-110/-110)-225

Nick Loftin – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
Nick Loftin has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (75% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Bobby Witt Jr. – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
Bobby Witt Jr. has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Eric Lauer – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+135/-170)
Eric Lauer has gone to his change-up 8.6% more often this season (15.8%) than he did last season (7.2%).
Explain: Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
Freddie Freeman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
The Kansas City Royals don’t have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Freddie Freeman is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever the whole game.
Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-225)
The Los Angeles Dodgers projected lineup projects as the best of the day in terms of overall batting skill.
Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 5.5 Team Total (+110/-140)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+4.25 Units / 12% ROI)
Kansas City Royals – Run Line +1.5 (-110)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+6.60 Units / 22% ROI)
Teoscar Hernandez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.65 Units / 38% ROI)

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