
Texas Rangers
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Los Angeles Angels
-135O/U: 8.5
(-115/-105)+115
(-115/-105)+115
Texas Rangers Insights
- Cal Quantrill – Over/Under 13.5 Pitching Outs (-135/+105)Compared to average, Cal Quantrill has been given less leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing an -17.1 fewer adjusted pitches each start.Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
- Nicky Lopez – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)Nicky Lopez has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84.3-mph dropping to 80.7-mph in the past 14 days.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- The 7.5% Barrel% of the Texas Rangers ranks them as the #22 group of hitters in Major League Baseball this year by this metric.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- George Klassen – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)The Texas Rangers have 6 hitters in the projected offense that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Klassen in today’s game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Zach Neto – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)Today, Zach Neto is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.2% rate (94th percentile).Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-115/-105)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+9.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-115/-105)The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 away games (+3.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- Joc Pederson – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (-125/-105)Joc Pederson has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+8.15 Units / 52% ROI)
