
Athletics
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Atlanta Braves
+130O/U: 9
(-120/+100)-150
(-120/+100)-150
Athletics Insights
- Aaron Civale – Over/Under Pitching OutsThe leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Aaron Civale to be on a pitch count in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 83 pitches.Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
- Jacob Wilson – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+195/-260)Utilizing Statcast data, Jacob Wilson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .297.Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
- The Athletics have 5 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Max Muncy, Tyler Soderstrom, Nick Kurtz, Austin Wynns, Denzel Clarke).Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts
Atlanta Braves Insights
- Jose Suarez – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)With 6 hitters of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Jose Suarez meets a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Mauricio Dubon – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+240/-335)Since the start of last season, Mauricio Dubon’s 1.7% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 3rd percentile among his peers.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- Atlanta Braves hitters jointly rank among the elite in the league since the start of last season (8th-) when it comes to their 89.6-mph average exit velocity.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Betting Trends
- Atlanta Braves – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team TotalThe Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 42 of their last 66 games at home (+13.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- Athletics – Moneyline (+130)The Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 86 games (+12.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- Austin Riley – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+145/-190)Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.30 Units / 34% ROI)
