
Los Angeles Dodgers
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Houston Astros
-210O/U: 8.5
(-120/+100)+180
(-120/+100)+180
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Tyler Glasnow – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-140/+110)Compared to league average, Tyler Glasnow has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying an extra 6.0 adjusted pitches each outing.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Dalton Rushing – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-170)Dalton Rushing has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph dropping to 77.8-mph over the last 7 days.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H MoneylineThe Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen profiles as the 9th-best in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Houston Astros Insights
- Lance McCullers Jr. – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)Lance McCullers Jr. has gone to his cutter 22.8% more often this season (27.4%) than he did last year (4.6%).Explain: Because cutters are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
- Jose Altuve – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+160/-210)Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (42.6% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
