
Los Angeles Angels
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Los Angeles Dodgers
+210O/U: 8.5
(-105/-115)-250
(-105/-115)-250
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Los Angeles Angels – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+175)Jose Soriano is an extreme groundball pitcher (56% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Dodger Stadium — the #2 HR venue in Major League Baseball — in today’s game.Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
- Wade Meckler – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-150/+115)Wade Meckler is an extreme groundball batter and faces the strong infield defense of Los Angeles (#3-best of the day).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- The Los Angeles Angels have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Zach Neto, Jose Siri, Mike Trout).Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Emmet Sheehan – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)With 7 bats who share the same handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Emmet Sheehan ought to benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-150/+115)Max Muncy is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Dodgers’ bullpen ranks as the 6th-best out of all teams in the majors.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -0.5 (-150)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (+115/-145)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+4.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Oswald Peraza – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-145/+115)Oswald Peraza has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 27% ROI)
