Find the Best Blue Jays vs Giants Picks and Odds – 7/7/2026

Toronto Blue Jays

@

San Francisco Giants

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Toronto Blue Jays – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-115)
  The San Francisco Giants have 6 batters in the projected offense that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Miles in this matchup.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Daulton Varsho – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-190)
  Extreme groundball batters like Daulton Varsho tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Trevor McDonald.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Alejandro Kirk – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
  Alejandro Kirk has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Trevor McDonald – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
  Trevor McDonald was on point in his last outing and notched 8 strikeouts.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Bryce Eldridge – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+250/-345)
  Bryce Eldridge has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 11.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past week.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• The San Francisco Giants have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Bryce Eldridge, Drew Cavanaugh, Willy Adames).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.50 Units / 36% ROI)
• Toronto Blue Jays – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.90 Units / 51% ROI)
• Alejandro Kirk – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+190/-255)
  Alejandro Kirk has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 41% ROI)