Find the Best Blue Jays vs Giants Picks and Odds - 7/7/2026

-120O/U: 8
(-110/-110)+100

Spencer Miles – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)
Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Spencer Miles has used his fastball a lot since the start of last season, though: 53% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.
Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
Daulton Varsho – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-185)
Daulton Varsho is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of San Francisco (#3-worst of the day).
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Daulton Varsho – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-185)
Daulton Varsho pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.8% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

San Francisco Giants – Moneyline (+100)
The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest among every team on the slate today.
Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
Bryce Eldridge – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)
Bryce Eldridge has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 11.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past week.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
The San Francisco Giants have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Drew Cavanaugh, Bryce Eldridge, Willy Adames).
Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.50 Units / 36% ROI)
Toronto Blue Jays – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-145/+115)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.90 Units / 51% ROI)
Luis Arraez – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-140/+110)
Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+6.35 Units / 23% ROI)

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