Find Out the Winning Probability and Team Stats for Yankees vs Rays Match – 7/07/26

New York Yankees

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Tampa Bay Rays

New York Yankees Insights

• Jose Caballero – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  Jose Caballero’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 86.1-mph figure last year has dropped to 83.7-mph.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• New York Yankees batters jointly rank in Major League Baseball for power this year when assessing with their 10% Barrel%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

• Ian Seymour – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
  With 6 batters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Ian Seymour will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Cedric Mullins – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+120)
  Cedric Mullins is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of New York (#3-worst on the slate).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Yandy Diaz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.2%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.