
Minnesota Twins
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Cleveland Guardians
+120O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-140
(-110/-110)-140
Minnesota Twins Insights
- Minnesota Twins – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+110)In his last GS, Connor Prielipp performed well and conceded 2 ER.Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
- Minnesota’s 88-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the worst in Major League Baseball: #28 overall.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Cleveland Guardians Insights
- Parker Messick – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)Tallying 17.7 outs per GS this year on average, Parker Messick places him the 87th percentile.Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
- Angel Martinez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-215/+165)Angel Martinez is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- Jose Ramirez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (42.5% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
