
Los Angeles Dodgers
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Detroit Tigers
-170O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)+150
(-110/-110)+150
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Tyler Glasnow – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-120/-110)Tyler Glasnow has been granted more leash than the average pitcher this year, recording 5.2 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average hurler.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Teoscar Hernández – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)Teoscar Hernandez’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 89.3-mph seasonal average has dropped to 78.7-mph in the last week.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H MoneylineThe Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen ranks as the 10th-best in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Detroit Tigers Insights
- Framber Valdez – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)Framber Valdez has a reverse platoon split and has the benefit of facing 6 opposite-handed hitters in this matchup.Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)Today, Spencer Torkelson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40% rate (97th percentile).Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
