Pittsburgh Pirates
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Cincinnati Reds
-110O/U: 9
(-110/-110)-110
(-110/-110)-110
Pittsburgh Pirates Insights
- Bubba Chandler – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)Bubba Chandler will hold the platoon advantage against 6 opposing hitters in today’s game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Jared Triolo – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-230/+175)This year, there has been a decline in Jared Triolo’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.76 ft/sec last year to 28.1 ft/sec currently.Explain: Slow players tend to get fewer hits because they can’t beat out groundballs, fewer extra base hits, and fewer stolen bases.
- It may be smart to expect better results for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the unluckiest offense in the game since the start of last season.Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.
Cincinnati Reds Insights
- Cincinnati Reds – Moneyline (-110)Among every team on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Sal Stewart – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-145)Sal Stewart has compiled a .388 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 99th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.Explain: xwOBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s overall hitting ability more accurately than actual wOBA can.
- The 7.3% Barrel% of the Cincinnati Reds grades them out as the #28 group of hitters in MLB since the start of last season by this standard.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.