Explore Expert Picks and Betting Line for Cardinals vs Brewers – September 25, 2026

St. Louis Cardinals

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Milwaukee Brewers

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Michael McGreevy – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  Among all starting pitchers, Michael McGreevy’s fastball velocity of 91.3 mph ranks in the 17th percentile this year.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Jose Fermin – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+130)
  Jose Fermin is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• St. Louis Cardinals – Moneyline (+150)
  The St. Louis Cardinals projected offense profiles as the 2nd-worst on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Robert Gasser – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+105/-135)
  Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Robert Gasser is projected to throw 85 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 10th-least of all pitchers on the slate.
  Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Garrett Mitchell – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-165)
  Garrett Mitchell has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 93.4-mph average.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Milwaukee Brewers – 2H Moneyline
  The Milwaukee Brewers bullpen grades out as the 7th-best in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.