Arizona Diamondbacks
@
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks Insights
- Gabriel Moreno – Over/Under Total BasesGabriel Moreno has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
San Francisco Giants Insights
- Spencer Bivens – Over/Under Pitching OutsCompared to the average starter, Spencer Bivens has been given less leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, throwing an -21.5 fewer adjusted pitches each start.Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
- Christian Koss – Over/Under Total BasesBats such as Christian Koss with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Mitch Bratt who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- The San Francisco Giants have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Shay Whitcomb, Bryce Eldridge, Rafael Devers).Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts
Betting Trends
- San Francisco Giants – 1st Five Innings (F5) MoneylineThe San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 40 games (+9.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- Arizona Diamondbacks – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team TotalThe Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.25 Units / 66% ROI)