
Arizona Diamondbacks
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San Francisco Giants
-130O/U: 8
(-110/-110)+110
(-110/-110)+110
Arizona Diamondbacks Insights
- James McCann – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+175/-235)James McCann has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
San Francisco Giants Insights
- Yunior Marte – Over/Under Pitching OutsCompared to average, Yunior Marte has been granted a below-average leash this year, recording an -10.7 fewer adjusted pitches each game.Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
- Osleivis Basabe – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-165/+130)Bats such as Osleivis Basabe with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Mitch Bratt who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- The underlying talent of the San Francisco Giants projected lineup today (.295 projected wOBA via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be a good deal weaker than their .309 wOBA this year.Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.
Betting Trends
- San Francisco Giants – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-105)The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 40 games (+9.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- Arizona Diamondbacks – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-160/+125)The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.25 Units / 66% ROI)
- Christian Koss – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-140/+110)Christian Koss has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+5.15 Units / 24% ROI)
