
Philadelphia Phillies
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Los Angeles Angels
-230O/U: 8
(-110/-110)+200
(-110/-110)+200
Philadelphia Phillies Insights
- Cristopher Sanchez – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (-145/+110)Given his large platoon split, Cristopher Sanchez will not have the upper hand matching up with 7 batters in the projected offense who bat from the opposite side in today’s game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Luis Arraez – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+150/-195)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average talent.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
- Bryce Harper – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)Bryce Harper has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Ryan Johnson – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)Out of all SPs, Ryan Johnson’s fastball velocity of 89.1 mph is in the 5th percentile this year.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Wade Meckler – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)Wade Meckler has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (66% of the time), but he is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this game.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the most strikeout-prone lineup today is the Los Angeles Angels with a 26.8% underlying K%.Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+11.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- Philadelphia Phillies – Run Line -1.5 (-135)The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- Travis d’Arnaud – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+250/-350)Travis d’Arnaud has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 39% ROI)
