Explore Betting Odds and Expert Picks for Braves vs Marlins – September 25, 2026

Atlanta Braves

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Miami Marlins

Atlanta Braves Insights

• Grant Holmes – Over/Under Strikeouts
  Grant Holmes’s higher utilization rate of his fastball this season (41.1 compared to 33.3% last year) is not ideal considering they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
• Ozzie Albies – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+140)
  Ozzie Albies has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (80% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Atlanta Braves – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Atlanta Braves’ bullpen grades out as the 5th-worst among all the teams in the league.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Miami Marlins Insights

• Eury Perez – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-150/+115)
  Among all starters, Eury Perez’s fastball spin rate of 2680 rpm is in the 100th percentile this year.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Agustin Ramirez – Over/Under Total Bases
  Agustin Ramirez has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 98.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.7-mph EV.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Heriberto Hernandez – Over/Under Total Bases
  Heriberto Hernandez pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.9% — 93rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.