
Colorado Rockies
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Chicago White Sox
+205O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-240
(-110/-110)-240
Colorado Rockies Insights
- Jake McCarthy – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-185)Jake McCarthy’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 85.2-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 79-mph in the last 7 days.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+120)Hunter Goodman pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Chicago White Sox Insights
- Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-240)Sean Burke is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.1% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #7 HR venue among all major league parks in this game.Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Today’s version of the White Sox projected lineup is a bit watered down, as their .318 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .333 overall projected rate.Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.
Betting Trends
- Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -1.0 (-115)The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+105/-135)The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Munetaka Murakami – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+160/-205)Munetaka Murakami has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+9.05 Units / 16% ROI)
