Detailed Player Insights for Rockies vs White Sox – 9/25/2026

Colorado Rockies

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Chicago White Sox

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Tomoyuki Sugano – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
  Out of all starters, Tomoyuki Sugano’s fastball spin rate of 2414 rpm grades out in the 81st percentile this year.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Jake McCarthy – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
  Jake McCarthy’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 85.2-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 79-mph in the last 7 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-190)
  Hunter Goodman pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-230)
  Sean Burke is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.1% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #8 HR venue among all major league parks in this game.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Today’s version of the White Sox projected lineup is a bit watered down, as their .318 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .333 overall projected rate.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.