Dodgers vs White Sox Match Preview and Winning Probability – Sunday June 14, 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers

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Chicago White Sox

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-175)
  Emmet Sheehan is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.6% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #7 HR venue in MLB today.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+170/-225)
  When assessing his batting average talent, Shohei Ohtani is projected as the 9th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-185)
  The best projected batting order of the day in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+135)
  Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Erick Fedde has relied on his off-speed and breaking balls 5.9% more often this year (70%) than he did last year (64.1%).
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Chase Meidroth – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-190/+145)
  Chase Meidroth is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 89% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Chicago White Sox bats collectively rank 6th- in MLB for power this year when assessing with their 9.6% Barrel%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Betting Trends

• Chicago White Sox – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 21 games (+13.30 Units / 52% ROI)
• Los Angeles Dodgers – Run Line -1.5 (-120)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 away games (+8.60 Units / 14% ROI)
• Mookie Betts – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-160/+125)
  Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.80 Units / 28% ROI)