Player Stats for D-Backs vs Reds – June 14th, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks

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Cincinnati Reds

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Zac Gallen – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  Zac Gallen’s higher usage percentage of his secondary pitches this year (58.4% vs. 52.5% last year) ought to work in his favor considering they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Ketel Marte – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+160/-205)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• Nolan Arenado – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.4% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Andrew Abbott – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+135/-175)
  Among all starters, Andrew Abbott’s fastball velocity of 92.1 mph grades out in the 17th percentile this year.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Eugenio Suarez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-200/+155)
  Eugenio Suarez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (93% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• The Cincinnati Reds have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Matt McLain, Eugenio Suarez, Tyler Stephenson).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts