Dive Into Player Props Analysis for Yankees vs Giants - Friday March 27, 2026

-135O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)+115

Cam Schlittler – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Cameron Schlittler has relied on his fastball a lot since the start of last season, though: 62% of the time, ranking in the 100th percentile.
Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
Aaron Judge – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
Aaron Judge’s 95.6-mph average exit velocity is one of the best in baseball since the start of last season: 100th percentile.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
The New York Yankees have 4 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jazz Chisholm Jr., Giancarlo Stanton, Austin Wells, Jose Caballero).
Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Robbie Ray – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
Placing in the 83rd percentile, Robbie Ray notched a 12.5% Swinging Strike percentage since the start of last season.
Explain: Swinging Strike% measures how often a pitcher gets a batter to whiff at a pitch and is regarded to be a strong indicator of strikeout ability and overall pitching talent.
Willy Adames – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)
Willy Adames is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of New York (#3-worst on the slate today).
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
San Francisco Giants – 2H Moneyline
The San Francisco Giants bullpen grades out as the 4th-worst in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-120/-110)
The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 38 games (+10.75 Units / 25% ROI)
New York Yankees – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-140)
The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 42 of their last 70 games (+16.15 Units / 14% ROI)
Harrison Bader – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
Harrison Bader has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.05 Units / 57% ROI)

WriteNow™ by EV Analytics