
Colorado Rockies
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Miami Marlins
+160O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-185
(-110/-110)-185
Colorado Rockies Insights
- Jose Quintana – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+110/-145)Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Jose Quintana has utilized his fastball a lot since the start of last season, though: 55.6% of the time, checking in at the 100th percentile.Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
- Kyle Karros – Over/Under Total BasesKyle Karros’s 1% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) ranks in the 12th percentile since the start of last season.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- Colorado Rockies – 2H MoneylineThe Colorado Rockies bullpen projects as the worst in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Miami Marlins Insights
- Miami Marlins – Moneyline (-185)Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Owen Caissie – Over/Under Total BasesOwen Caissie is certain to never face a bullpen mismatch the whole game since none of the available options for the Colorado Rockies share his handedness.Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
- Austin Slater – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)Austin Slater hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
