
New York Yankees
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Texas Rangers
-160O/U: 8
(-105/-115)+140
(-105/-115)+140
New York Yankees Insights
- Max Fried – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)Max Fried’s 2110-rpm spin rate on his fastball this season is a notable 101-rpm drop off from last year’s 2211-rpm figure.Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose spin rate worsens will likely see worsened results as well.
- Jazz Chisholm – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+130)Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- New York Yankees – Moneyline (-160)The New York Yankees projected offense projects as the 2nd-strongest of the day in terms of overall offensive skill.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Texas Rangers Insights
- Jack Leiter – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)As forecasted by the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Jack Leiter is expected to rack up an average of 5.9 strikeouts today.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
- Brandon Nimmo – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-190)Brandon Nimmo has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 96.2-mph in the last week.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Texas Rangers – 2H MoneylineThe Texas Rangers bullpen ranks as the 4th-worst in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-105/-115)The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+6.90 Units / 52% ROI)
- New York Yankees – Run Line -1.5 (+100)The New York Yankees have hit the Run Line in 12 of their last 19 away games (+7.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+165/-215)Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 15 away games (+8.85 Units / 59% ROI)
