
Toronto Blue Jays
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Chicago Cubs
+100O/U: 7.5
(+105/-125)-120
(+105/-125)-120
Toronto Blue Jays Insights
- Kevin Gausman – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-180/+140)Kevin Gausman has averaged 92.8 adjusted pitches per start this year, placing in the 81st percentile.Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Andres Gimenez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-150/+115)Andres Gimenez is an extreme groundball hitter and faces the strong infield defense of Chicago (#1-best of all teams on the slate).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 17.7% underlying K%.Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.
Chicago Cubs Insights
- Ben Brown – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Ben Brown in the 89th percentile among all starters in MLB.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
- Nico Hoerner – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)Nico Hoerner has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (86% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Betting Trends
- Chicago Cubs – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team TotalThe Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.85 Units / 38% ROI)
