Check the Injuries Update for Braves vs D-Backs – 4/26/2025

Atlanta Braves

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Arizona Diamondbacks

The Arizona Diamondbacks will host the Atlanta Braves on April 26, 2025, in what promises to be an engaging National League matchup at Chase Field. The Diamondbacks have been performing well this season, sporting a record of 14-12 and ranking 3rd in MLB in offensive prowess. In contrast, the Braves have struggled with an 11-14 record, placing them in the middle of the pack offensively at 15th.

In their previous game, the Diamondbacks edged out the Braves, continuing to build momentum as they aim for a strong showing this season. Merrill Kelly is projected to take the mound for Arizona, and despite being ranked 134th among MLB starting pitchers, he has managed a solid 3-1 record this year, with an average ERA of 4.73. However, he does project to allow a concerning 5.3 hits and 2.8 earned runs today, which could open the door for Atlanta’s offense.

On the other side, Grant Holmes will start for the Braves. While his ERA of 3.22 indicates a strong performance, his xFIP of 4.61 suggests he might face challenges ahead, especially since he also struggles with walks, sitting at a high 15.1% BB rate. Given the Diamondbacks’ patient approach at the plate, they could capitalize on Holmes’ lack of control.

With a Game Total set at 9.5 runs, sportsbooks suggest a competitive showdown, with Arizona’s moneyline at -120 and Atlanta’s at +100, indicating a tight contest. The Diamondbacks’ offense ranks 6th in home runs and 9th in batting average, which may give them an edge as they face a Braves bullpen ranked 20th in MLB. All signs point to an exciting game where the Diamondbacks look to solidify their standing against a struggling Braves squad.

Atlanta Braves Insights

• Atlanta Braves – Moneyline (+100)
  The Atlanta Braves outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among all the teams in action today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Ozzie Albies – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-200/+155)
  Ozzie Albies has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (96% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Atlanta Braves – Moneyline (+100)
  The 4th-best projected lineup of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the Atlanta Braves.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Arizona Diamondbacks – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-125)
  Merrill Kelly is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.6% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #30 HR venue among all stadiums in this game.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Eugenio Suarez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
  Eugenio Suarez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.4-mph average to last season’s 92.6-mph average.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Arizona Diamondbacks bats as a group have been one of the best in the majors this year (4th-) when it comes to their 90.5-mph average exit velocity.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Betting Trends

• Arizona Diamondbacks – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-125/-105)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.15 Units / 13% ROI)
• Atlanta Braves – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-110/-120)
  The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.10 Units / 26% ROI)
• Josh Naylor – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-115/-115)
  Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.20 Units / 29% ROI)