
Houston Astros
@

Athletics
-175O/U: 11
(-110/-110)+155
(-110/-110)+155
Houston Astros Insights
- Yordan Alvarez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)Yordan Alvarez is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Sacramento (#1-worst of all teams on the slate).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
- Isaac Paredes – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (46.3% — 100th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Athletics Insights
- Jonah Heim – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-140/+110)Jonah Heim has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Athletics – Moneyline (+155)The Athletics projected lineup profiles as the 3rd-weakest of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting skill.Explain: A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Betting Trends
- Athletics – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-105/-125)The Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+8.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- Houston Astros – Over/Under 3.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+110/-140)The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 away games (+12.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- Christian Walker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-145)Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 39% ROI)
